TSMC reports Thursday: the numbers to know before TSM earnings

TSMC (TSM) reports results for its quarter ending September 2026 before the open on Thursday, 15 October. The consensus forecast is earnings of $4.45 a share, based on 6 analyst estimates compiled by Zacks and published by Nasdaq. A year earlier the company reported $2.92 for the same quarter, so the forecast implies EPS growth of +52.4%.

Shares closed at $453.31 on Friday, 9 October, down 1.02% on the day, for a market value of about $2.38T according to Nasdaq. The stock is up 49.2% so far in 2026, and sits 6.7% below its 52-week closing high of $485.80 from 5 October.

What the last report showed

In its most recent annual report (a 20-F for the period ended 31 December 2025, filed 16 April), TSMC reported revenue of $88.3B, up 25.0% from $70.6B a year earlier. Net income was $35.3B, up from $27.8B. Diluted earnings per share came to $1.36 against $1.07 a year before.

The earnings track record

TSMC has topped the consensus EPS estimate in 4 of the last 4 quarters, according to Nasdaq's earnings-surprise data. (These EPS figures are on the adjusted basis Zacks tracks, which can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the SEC filing.) Most recently, for the quarter ending June 2026, it reported $4.31 a share against a $3.87 forecast, a +11.4% surprise.

Measured from the close before each report date to the close of the next session after it, the shares moved an average of 3.5% (in either direction) around the last 4 releases. The biggest swing was -5.0% around the report dated 16 July 2026.

What the forecast implies

The $4.45 consensus sits 3.2% above the $4.31 TSMC reported for the previous quarter.