FIRE Calculator
Find your FIRE number and the age you could reach financial independence, based on what you've invested, what you earn and what you spend. Compare Lean FIRE, traditional FIRE, Fat FIRE and Coast FIRE side by side and see the portfolio year by year.
FIRE calculator
How the FIRE calculator works
FIRE number = annual spending รท withdrawal rate. At a 4% withdrawal rate that's 25 ร spending: $50,000 a year needs $1,250,000. The calculator grows your portfolio by the real (after-inflation) return each year, adds what you save (take-home income โ spending), and counts the years until it reaches the target.
The 4% figure comes from studies of historical US stock and bond returns (the 1998 Trinity study and earlier work by William Bengen), which found a 4% first-year withdrawal, raised with inflation, lasted 30 years in almost every past period. Early retirees planning for 40 to 50 years often use 3.25% to 3.5% for extra safety.
Savings rate retirement calculator: why the savings rate matters most
Saving more works twice: the portfolio grows faster and the target shrinks because you've learned to live on less. Starting from zero at a 5% real return and 4% withdrawals: a 10% savings rate takes about 52 years, 25% about 32, 50% about 17, and 70% about 9.
Lean, Fat and Coast FIRE
- Lean FIRE: a frugal budget, often under about $40,000 a year.
- Fat FIRE: a comfortable or luxury budget, often $100,000 or more.
- Coast FIRE: enough invested that it would grow to your FIRE number by normal retirement age with no more saving. See the Coast FIRE calculator for details.
Before age 59ยฝ, plan how you'll reach retirement accounts (Roth contribution withdrawals, a Roth conversion ladder, or substantially equal periodic payments), and budget for health insurance until Medicare at 65.
Common questions
How do I calculate my FIRE number?
Divide your yearly spending by your withdrawal rate. At 4%, multiply spending by 25: $50,000 a year needs $1.25 million.
How long until I can retire early?
It depends mostly on your savings rate. Saving 50% of take-home pay from zero takes about 17 years at a 5% real return.
Is the 4% rule safe for early retirement?
It held for 30-year retirements in US history. For 40+ years many people use 3.25% to 3.5%.
What is the difference between Lean FIRE and Fat FIRE?
Lean FIRE targets a frugal budget (often under $40,000 a year); Fat FIRE a larger one ($100,000+).
Should I use real or nominal returns?
Real (after inflation), so the FIRE number stays in today's dollars. 5% real is roughly 7% to 8% nominal minus 2.5% to 3% inflation.
Sources
- Investor.gov (SEC): Retirement planning tools
- Cooley, Hubbard & Walz (1998): Retirement savings: choosing a withdrawal rate that is sustainable (AAII Journal)
Related
General information, not financial, tax or legal advice. Check important numbers with the official source before acting on them.